Selected outcome
Grijalva, 34+ pts
wide spread 66–78%
67%
Grijalva, 34+ pts · 67%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Grijalva, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–87%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 87¢
- Grijalva, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,033 vol
Bid 92.3¢ · Ask 97.2¢
- Grijalva, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$938 vol
Bid 90.9¢ · Ask 97.1¢
- Grijalva, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$69 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 97¢
- Grijalva, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$85 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.1¢
- Grijalva, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 66–78%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 78¢
- Grijalva, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Grijalva, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Grijalva, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$116 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 24¢
- Grijalva, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Bid 7.6¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 7th District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.