Selected outcome
Gosar, 27+ pts
wide spread 8–19%
18%
Gosar, 27+ pts · 18%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Gosar, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,612 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 84¢
- Gosar, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,580 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Gosar, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,217 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Gosar, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$628 vol
wide spread 32–43%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 43¢
- Gosar, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$359 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Gosar, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$122 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Gosar, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 12¢
- Gosar, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.5¢
- Gosar, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,578 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 91.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 9th District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.