Selected outcome
Hobbs, 8+ pts
52%
Hobbs, 8+ pts · 52%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hobbs, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 8 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$146 24h · ~$4,761 vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 53¢
- Hobbs, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 5 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$81 24h · ~$9,450 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 74¢
- Hobbs, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 11 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,540 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 32¢
- Hobbs, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 14 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$151 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 15¢
- Hobbs, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 17 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Hobbs, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 2 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,174 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 90¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arizona by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.