Selected outcome
Eric Jones, 5+ pts
wide spread 6–16%
Eric Jones, 5+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Eric Jones, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 10 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.7¢
- Eric Jones, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 15 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.8¢
- Eric Jones, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–16%
Bid 5.5¢ · Ask 16¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Eric Jones wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.