Selected outcome
Doris Matsui, 1+ pts
60%
Doris Matsui, 1+ pts · 60%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Doris Matsui, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 1 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 65¢
- Doris Matsui, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 12 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.7¢ · Ask 18¢
- Doris Matsui, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 16 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Doris Matsui, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 20 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.4¢
- Doris Matsui, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Doris Matsui, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 8 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 29¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 7th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.