Selected outcome
Mai Vang, 16+ pts
4%
Mai Vang, 16+ pts · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Mai Vang, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Mai Vang in CA-07 be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Mai Vang, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Mai Vang in CA-07 be at least 12 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.6¢
- Mai Vang, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Mai Vang in CA-07 be at least 16 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Mai Vang, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Mai Vang in CA-07 be at least 20 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5.6¢
- Mai Vang, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Mai Vang in CA-07 be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Mai Vang, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Mai Vang in CA-07 be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Mai Vang wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 7th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.