Selected outcome
Garamendi, 36+ pts
wide spread 86–97%
Garamendi, 36+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Garamendi, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Garamendi, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.4¢
- Garamendi, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.5¢
- Garamendi, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Garamendi, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Garamendi, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Garamendi, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Garamendi, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Garamendi, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.3¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 8th District by 36 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.