Selected outcome
Harder, 28+ pts
wide spread 21–33%
Harder, 28+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Harder, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Harder, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.1¢
- Harder, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- Harder, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Harder, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- Harder, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Harder, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Harder, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.7¢ · Ask 21¢
- Harder, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 13¢
- Harder, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.1¢
- Harder, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 9th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 9th District by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.