Selected outcome
DeSaulnier, 37+ pts
wide spread 84–96%
DeSaulnier, 37+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- DeSaulnier, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 10th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.9¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- DeSaulnier, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 10th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- DeSaulnier, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 10th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.5¢
- DeSaulnier, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 10th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- DeSaulnier, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 10th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- DeSaulnier, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 10th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
- DeSaulnier, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 10th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- DeSaulnier, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 10th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- DeSaulnier, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 10th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 10th District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.