Selected outcome
Connie Chan, 4+ pts
wide spread 4–15%
14%
Connie Chan, 4+ pts · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Connie Chan, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 5.6¢
- Connie Chan, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 5.1¢
- Connie Chan, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 5¢
- Connie Chan, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 4 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.8¢ · Ask 15¢
- Connie Chan, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Connie Chan wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 11th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.