Selected outcome
Jamie Joyce, 10+ pts
4%
Jamie Joyce, 10+ pts · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Jamie Joyce, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Jamie Joyce in CA-12 be at least 10 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Jamie Joyce, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Jamie Joyce in CA-12 be at least 5 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Jamie Joyce wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 12th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.