Selected outcome
Lateefah Simon, 30+ pts
96%
Lateefah Simon, 30+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lateefah Simon, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 55 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Lateefah Simon, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 60 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Lateefah Simon, 65+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 65 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Lateefah Simon, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 10 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$47 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Lateefah Simon, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 15 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Lateefah Simon, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 20 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 93.7¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Lateefah Simon, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 25 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 93.6¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Lateefah Simon, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 30 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
Bid 92.7¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Lateefah Simon, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 35 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Lateefah Simon, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92.5¢
- Lateefah Simon, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
- Lateefah Simon, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 5 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$47 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Lateefah Simon, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 50 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 12th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.