Selected outcome
Aisha Wahab, 10+ pts
wide spread 50–62%
Aisha Wahab, 10+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Aisha Wahab, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.5¢
- Aisha Wahab, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Aisha Wahab, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Aisha Wahab, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 15 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$96 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Aisha Wahab, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 19¢
- Aisha Wahab, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 25 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Aisha Wahab, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 30 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Aisha Wahab, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 14th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.