Selected outcome
Melissa Hernandez, 5+ pts
3%
Melissa Hernandez, 5+ pts · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Melissa Hernandez, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Melissa Hernandez in CA-14 be at least 10 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Melissa Hernandez, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Melissa Hernandez in CA-14 be at least 5 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Melissa Hernandez wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 14th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.