Selected outcome
Mullin, 45+ pts
96%
Mullin, 45+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Mullin, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 15th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.2¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Mullin, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 15th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.5¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Mullin, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 15th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Mullin, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 15th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.4¢
- Mullin, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 15th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Mullin, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 15th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Mullin, 63+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 15th District House election be at least 63 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Mullin, 66+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 15th District House election be at least 66 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Mullin, 69+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 15th District House election be at least 69 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 15th District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.