Selected outcome
Liccardo, 48+ pts
95%
Liccardo, 48+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Liccardo, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 16th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.2¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Liccardo, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 16th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.5¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Liccardo, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 16th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Liccardo, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 16th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.4¢
- Liccardo, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 16th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 66–78%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 78¢
- Liccardo, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 16th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Liccardo, 63+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 16th District House election be at least 63 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Liccardo, 66+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 16th District House election be at least 66 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.8¢ · Ask 21¢
- Liccardo, 69+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 16th District House election be at least 69 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 16th District by 48 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.