Selected outcome
Lofgren, 39+ pts
wide spread 67–79%
Lofgren, 39+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lofgren, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 18th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Lofgren, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 18th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
wide spread 41–52%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 52¢
- Lofgren, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 18th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Lofgren, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 18th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Lofgren, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 18th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 18¢
- Lofgren, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 18th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Lofgren, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 18th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.6¢
- Lofgren, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 18th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- Lofgren, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 18th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–79%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 79¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 18th District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.