Selected outcome
Panetta, 37+ pts
wide spread 77–88%
Panetta, 37+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Panetta, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 19th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–98%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.8¢
- Panetta, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 19th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- Panetta, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 19th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Panetta, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 19th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Panetta, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 19th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- Panetta, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 19th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Panetta, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 19th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.2¢ · Ask 17¢
- Panetta, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 19th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Panetta, 58+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 19th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 19th District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.