Selected outcome
Fong, 15+ pts
95%
Fong, 15+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Fong, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 15¢
- Fong, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Fong, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.8¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Fong, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.9¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Fong, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Fong, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 81–93%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.7¢
- Fong, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Fong, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$122 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- Fong, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$416 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Fong, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$78 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Fong, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 20th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 20th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.