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California's 22nd District margin of victory

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California's 22nd District

Selected outcome

Valadao, 5+ pts

5%

Valadao, 5+ pts · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Valadao, 2+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Valadao, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.5¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$0
Liquidity
—
Open int.
0 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 22nd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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