Selected outcome
Carbajal, 47+ pts
4%
Carbajal, 47+ pts · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Carbajal, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Carbajal, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91¢
- Carbajal, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$241 vol
wide spread 71–82%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 82¢
- Carbajal, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$111 vol
wide spread 58–69%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 69¢
- Carbajal, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Carbajal, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Carbajal, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Carbajal, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 17¢
- Carbajal, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Carbajal, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.8¢
- Carbajal, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 24th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 24th District by 47 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.