Selected outcome
Irwin, 18+ pts
wide spread 58–70%
Irwin, 18+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Irwin, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 26th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–93%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.8¢
- Irwin, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 26th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Irwin, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 26th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- Irwin, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 26th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Irwin, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 26th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Irwin, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 26th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Irwin, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 26th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- Irwin, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 26th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Irwin, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 26th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 26th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.