Selected outcome
Chu, 38+ pts
wide spread 29–41%
Chu, 38+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Chu, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.7¢
- Chu, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Chu, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Chu, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Chu, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Chu, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Chu, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.9¢ · Ask 16¢
- Chu, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Chu, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 28th District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.