Selected outcome
Friedman, 47+ pts
wide spread 55–67%
Friedman, 47+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Friedman, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 30th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.4¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Friedman, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 30th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- Friedman, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 30th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.2¢
- Friedman, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 30th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Friedman, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 30th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Friedman, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 30th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Friedman, 53+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 30th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Friedman, 56+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 30th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.3¢ · Ask 19¢
- Friedman, 59+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 30th District House election be at least 59 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 30th District by 47 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.