Selected outcome
Sherman, 43+ pts
wide spread 6–18%
Sherman, 43+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Sherman, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.8¢
- Sherman, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Sherman, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Sherman, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Sherman, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Sherman, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Sherman, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 18¢
- Sherman, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Sherman, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 32nd District by 43 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.