Selected outcome
Lieu, 48+ pts
wide spread 37–49%
Lieu, 48+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Lieu, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.3¢
- Lieu, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.7¢
- Lieu, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
- Lieu, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Lieu, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Lieu, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Lieu, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.7¢ · Ask 20¢
- Lieu, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Lieu, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 36th District by 48 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.