Selected outcome
Young Kim, 10+ pts
8%
Young Kim, 10+ pts · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Young Kim, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in CA-40 be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Young Kim, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in CA-40 be at least 10 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 13¢
- Young Kim, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in CA-40 be at least 15 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.2¢
- Young Kim, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in CA-40 be at least 20 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.1¢
- Young Kim, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in CA-40 be at least 5 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 22¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Young Kim wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.