Selected outcome
Sánchez, 18+ pts
wide spread 75–86%
Sánchez, 18+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Sánchez, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.5¢
- Sánchez, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Sánchez, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Sánchez, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Sánchez, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Sánchez, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Sánchez, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9.1¢ · Ask 21¢
- Sánchez, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 13¢
- Sánchez, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 41st District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.