Selected outcome
Garcia, 17+ pts
95%
Garcia, 17+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Garcia, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Garcia, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Garcia, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 96.7¢
- Garcia, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 87¢
- Garcia, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 65–76%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 76¢
- Garcia, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Garcia, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$116 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Garcia, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- Garcia, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.5¢ · Ask 20¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 42nd District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.