Selected outcome
Waters, 48+ pts
wide spread 87–99%
Waters, 48+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Waters, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–99%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.6¢
- Waters, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.3¢
- Waters, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Waters, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Waters, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 52–64%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 64¢
- Waters, 63+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 63 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Waters, 66+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 66 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Waters, 69+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 69 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Waters, 72+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 72 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 48 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.