Selected outcome
Barragán, 46+ pts
wide spread 66–78%
Barragán, 46+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Barragán, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 44th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–99%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Barragán, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 44th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.4¢
- Barragán, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 44th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$232 vol
wide spread 66–78%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 78¢
- Barragán, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 44th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Barragán, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 44th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Barragán, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 44th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Barragán, 58+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 44th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.6¢ · Ask 15¢
- Barragán, 61+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 44th District House election be at least 61 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.1¢
- Barragán, 64+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 44th District House election be at least 64 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 44th District by 46 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.