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California's 45th District margin of victory

Open

California's 45th District

Selected outcome

Tran, 10+ pts

wide spread 61–73%

68%

Tran, 10+ pts · 68%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Tran, 10+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 45th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?

    68%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$136 vol

    wide spread 61–73%

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tran, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 45th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?

    55%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$102 vol

    Bid 51¢ · Ask 59¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tran, 16+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 45th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?

    32%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol

    wide spread 32–44%

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tran, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 45th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 19–31%

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tran, 22+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 45th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 8–20%

    Bid 8.4¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tran, 25+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 45th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 1–13%

    Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tran, 28+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 45th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tran, 4+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 45th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 83–94%

    Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tran, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 45th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 73–85%

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$302
Liquidity
—
Open int.
601 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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