Selected outcome
Republicans, 3+ pts
5%
Republicans, 3+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Republicans, 3+ pts
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Markets
- Republicans, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 48th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 48th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.