Selected outcome
Levin, 12+ pts
wide spread 81–92%
Levin, 12+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Levin, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.4¢
- Levin, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Levin, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Levin, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Levin, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Levin, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Levin, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8.3¢ · Ask 20¢
- Levin, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 13¢
- Levin, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 49th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–99%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 49th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.