Selected outcome
Vargas, 42+ pts
6%
Vargas, 42+ pts · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Vargas, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Vargas, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.5¢
- Vargas, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Vargas, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Vargas, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Vargas, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$144 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Vargas, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Vargas, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.6¢ · Ask 18¢
- Vargas, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Vargas, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.8¢
- Vargas, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 52nd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 52nd District by 42 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.