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California Governor margin of victory

Open

California Governor

Selected outcome

Democrats, 12+ pts

90%

Democrats, 12+ pts · 90%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Democrats, 12+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 12 percentage points?

    90%

    Open · ~$1,110 24h · ~$1,590 vol

    Bid 87¢ · Ask 93.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Democrats, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 15 percentage points?

    82%

    Open · ~$262 24h · ~$2,824 vol

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 84¢

    Open full market view →
  • Democrats, 21+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 21 percentage points?

    52%

    Open · ~$118 24h · ~$425 vol

    Bid 50¢ · Ask 53¢

    Open full market view →
  • Democrats, 18+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 18 percentage points?

    66%

    Open · ~$106 24h · ~$785 vol

    Bid 62¢ · Ask 70¢

    Open full market view →
  • Democrats, 9+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 9 percentage points?

    95%

    Open · ~$96 24h · ~$465 vol

    Bid 90.3¢ · Ask 98.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Democrats, 30+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 30 percentage points?

    11%

    Open · ~$12 24h · ~$53 vol

    wide spread 8–19%

    Bid 8.4¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Democrats, 27+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 27 percentage points?

    25%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$110 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Democrats, 24+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 24 percentage points?

    38%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$261 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • Democrats, 33+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 33 percentage points?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol

    wide spread 2–13%

    Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Democrats, 36+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 36 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 9.3¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$1,704
Volume
~$6,529
Liquidity
—
Open int.
6,343 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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