Selected outcome
Himes, 39+ pts
wide spread 16–28%
Himes, 39+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Himes, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$457 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 90.4¢
- Himes, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$41 vol
wide spread 81–91%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 91.1¢
- Himes, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Himes, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 62¢
- Himes, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 52¢
- Himes, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Himes, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 4th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Himes, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 4th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.9¢ · Ask 17¢
- Himes, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 4th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 4th District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.