Selected outcome
Patronis, 32+ pts
wide spread 27–39%
37%
Patronis, 32+ pts · 37%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Patronis, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$1,054 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 83¢
- Patronis, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 65¢
- Patronis, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$536 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.8¢
- Patronis, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$747 vol
Bid 68¢ · Ask 76¢
- Patronis, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Patronis, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$89 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Patronis, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 1st District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Patronis, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 1st District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.6¢ · Ask 16¢
- Patronis, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 1st District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 1st District by 32 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.