Selected outcome
Bean, 21+ pts
Bean, 21+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Bean, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- Bean, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Bean, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$155 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Bean, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$114 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 14¢
- Bean, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
last
Ask 9.3¢
- Bean, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7.1¢
- Bean, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 4th District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.