Selected outcome
Fine, 12+ pts
76%
Fine, 12+ pts · 76%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Fine, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 80¢
- Fine, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 60–71%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢
- Fine, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Fine, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 37¢
- Fine, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Fine, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 6th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 18¢
- Fine, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 6th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Fine, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 6th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.3¢
- Fine, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 90.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 6th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.