Selected outcome
Gruters, 4+ pts
wide spread 59–71%
Gruters, 4+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Gruters, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$79 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Gruters, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Gruters, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Gruters, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- Gruters, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 13¢
- Gruters, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- Gruters, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Gruters, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$158 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 16th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.