Selected outcome
Schwartzel, 14+ pts
wide spread 68–80%
72%
Schwartzel, 14+ pts · 72%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Schwartzel, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- Schwartzel, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7.6¢
- Schwartzel, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 80¢
- Schwartzel, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
- Schwartzel, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 64¢
- Schwartzel, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- Schwartzel, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- Schwartzel, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Schwartzel, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 16¢
- Schwartzel, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 19th District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.