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Florida Governor margin of victory

Open

Florida Governor

Selected outcome

Donalds, 9+ pts

21%

Donalds, 9+ pts · 21%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Donalds, 3+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 3 percentage points?

    64%

    Open · ~$2,459 24h · ~$16k vol

    Bid 63¢ · Ask 64¢

    Open full market view →
  • Donalds, 6+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?

    40%

    Open · ~$2,252 24h · ~$11k vol

    Bid 39¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
  • Donalds, 9+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 9 percentage points?

    21%

    Open · ~$718 24h · ~$3,436 vol

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • Donalds, 1+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 1 percentage points?

    76%

    Open · ~$25 24h · ~$3,710 vol

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 78¢

    Open full market view →
  • Donalds, 12+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 12 percentage points?

    9%

    Open · ~$15 24h · ~$1,033 vol

    Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Donalds, 18+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 18 percentage points?

    3%

    Open · ~$3 24h · ~$72 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 6.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Donalds, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 15 percentage points?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$322 vol

    Bid 2.6¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$5,474
Volume
~$36k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
56k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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