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Florida Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Moody, 12+ pts

20%

Moody, 12+ pts · 20%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Moody, 6+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?

    61%

    Open · ~$4,558 24h · ~$21k vol

    Bid 60¢ · Ask 61¢

    Open full market view →
  • Moody, 8+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 8 percentage points?

    48%

    Open · ~$2,691 24h · ~$12k vol

    Bid 47¢ · Ask 48¢

    Open full market view →
  • Moody, 4+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 4 percentage points?

    82%

    Open · ~$2,126 24h · ~$20k vol

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 83¢

    Open full market view →
  • Moody, 10+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 10 percentage points?

    33%

    Open · ~$425 24h · ~$7,021 vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Moody, 2+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?

    88%

    Open · ~$179 24h · ~$5,602 vol

    Bid 87¢ · Ask 88¢

    Open full market view →
  • Moody, 12+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 12 percentage points?

    20%

    Open · ~$29 24h · ~$6,121 vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 21¢

    Open full market view →
  • Moody, 18+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 18 percentage points?

    3%

    Open · ~$7 24h · ~$61 vol

    Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Moody, 14+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 14 percentage points?

    14%

    Open · ~$4 24h · ~$1,769 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Moody, 16+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 16 percentage points?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$626 vol

    Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 9.1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$10k
Volume
~$74k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
90k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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