Selected outcome
Tokuda, 23+ pts
94%
Tokuda, 23+ pts · 94%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Tokuda, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$568 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Tokuda, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$310 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 97.9¢
- Tokuda, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$569 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.4¢
- Tokuda, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$409 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Tokuda, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,253 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- Tokuda, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$212 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Tokuda, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Tokuda, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Tokuda, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Hawaii's 2nd District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.