Selected outcome
Nunn, 4+ pts
wide spread 7–18%
18%
Nunn, 4+ pts · 18%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Nunn, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$132 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- Nunn, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$169 vol
Ask 9.9¢
- Nunn, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.6¢ · Ask 18¢
- Nunn, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 3rd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.