Selected outcome
Turek, 4+ pts
18%
Turek, 4+ pts · 18%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Turek, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 2 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$435 24h · ~$8,497 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 33¢
- Turek, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$289 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 10¢
- Turek, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 4 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,655 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.