Selected outcome
Hinson, 4+ pts
28%
Hinson, 4+ pts · 28%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hinson, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 4 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$96 24h · ~$3,562 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢
- Hinson, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$86 24h · ~$1,183 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
- Hinson, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 8 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$65 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢
- Hinson, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 10 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$140 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 6.9¢
- Hinson, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 12 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Hinson, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$221 vol
Ask 6.4¢
- Hinson, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 2 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,004 vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 46¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.