Selected outcome
Fulcher, 30+ pts
wide spread 52–64%
Fulcher, 30+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Fulcher, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$267 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 88¢
- Fulcher, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–79%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 79¢
- Fulcher, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 52–64%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 64¢
- Fulcher, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
- Fulcher, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$88 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Fulcher, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.9¢ · Ask 20¢
- Fulcher, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 12¢
- Fulcher, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$78 vol
Ask 8.5¢
- Fulcher, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
Ask 6.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Idaho's 1st District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.