Selected outcome
Little, 30+ pts
wide spread 21–32%
24%
Little, 30+ pts · 24%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Little, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.4¢
- Little, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 18 percentage points?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$507 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- Little, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Little, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$125 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Little, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- Little, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 30 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$122 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- Little, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 33 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$96 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Little, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 36 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 11¢
- Little, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 39 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
last
Ask 8.8¢
- Little, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Ask 6.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Idaho by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.